Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms, poses no threat to US

16 August, 2018, 09:12 | Author: Dwayne Harmon
  • Hawaii forecasters watching Tropical Storm Lane

At 5p.m, the center of Subtropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 45.7 West.

A turn toward the north-northeast is forecast tonight, and a faster northeastward motion is expected by late Thursday and should continue through early Saturday.

A subtropical system has transitioned into Tropical Storm Debby, but it is not expected to impact land as it meanders far out in the north Atlantic.As of 5 a.m. Wednesday, the storm had maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour and was located about 1,175 mi.

As it's still very far away, it's too early to tell how the storm could affect the Hawaiian Islands.

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Further intensification is likely over the next few days as Lane encounters a conducive large-scale environment consisting of low shear and fairly warm waters.

And even though the forecast calls for it to fizzle, it's interesting nonetheless.

It is centered around 695 miles southeast of Canada and it is feared that it could grow into a major hurricane by Saturday. However, some slightly drier air is also moving in and reducing the number of storms that will form, so the rain chance will be slightly below the average. There is very little spread in the guidance, with the most notable change since the last advisory being a small shift to the southwest. Given the tightly packed guidance, this appears to be a high-confidence forecast.

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