Hurricane Rosa, Tropical Storm Kirk Form: Latest Updates

27 September, 2018, 00:59 | Author: Dwayne Harmon
  • Chances Kirk will redevelop increase, tropical depression possible off North Carolina

A release sent to the media yesterday said Kirk was about 755 km east of Barbados and was moving at 30 km an hour.

As of the 8 a.m. advisory, Kirk was 950 miles east of the Windward Islands. A pocket of little to no shear will help Kirk gain strength as it moves to the west, but it's going to have a hard time overcoming the strong winds now settled over the Caribbean. The system is expected to run into heavy wind shear as it enters the Caribbean Sea, which will likely work to tear it apart.

Kirk has top winds estimated at 45 miles per hour Wednesday morning.

The government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Guadeloupe and Martinique.

A strengthening trend is expected to resume soon, and it seems likely that Rosa will rapidly intensify during the next couple of days while it remains over warm SSTs and in an environment of low wind shear of 10 kt or less.

Post-tropical cyclone Leslie is still lingering in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. "A High-Surf Advisory is issued when breaking wave action poses a threat to life and property within the surf zone".

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And while the storms that threaten Florida at this time of the year tend to follow a similar path toward the Caribbean, it doesn't look like the conditions are there to keep a potential Kirk 2.0 alive that long. It could regain sub-tropical storm status later this week.

"On the forecast track, Kirk is expected to approach Barbados and the northern Windward Islands Thursday afternoon and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea by Friday morning", the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in Miami said.

Interests elsewhere in the central and northern Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Kirk as additional warnings or watches could be issued later today.

NHC said a tropical storm watch is in effect for St. Vincent and the Grenadines - with tropical storm conditions appearing within the next 36 hours.

It said that tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area by Thursday afternoon, making outside preparations hard or unsafe.

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