NOAA Predicts Mild Michigan Winter Ahead

20 October, 2018, 22:36 | Author: Dwayne Harmon
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Anyone hoping for a lot of snow is likely to be disappointed more often than not this winter.

Cold air and even some snow blanketed areas of Maine Thursday, but the National Weather Service predictions indicate that Maine might experience a milder-than-average winter.

In the valley of the Tennessee, the OH valley and mid-Atlantic States (NJ, NY, MD and PA), the temperature will be or on the secondary level or above.

Hubbard said the bay areas streak of record-breaking hot weather in October is not related to El Nino, but is instead caused by a combination of factors, such as dry high pressure in the area the past few weeks — which blocks rainfall — easterly winds and little sea breeze.

Much of the north and west parts of the country - especially Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains - are set to see warmer-than-normal conditions, NOAA said.

"The country as a whole has been quite mild since 2014-2015", Halpert said.

"We're expecting this El Nino to be much weaker than that one", Halpert said.

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"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert.

If the snowfall earlier this week reminded you how much you don't like the winter cold, you may be in luck. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.

The middle belt of the nation, and some of the north from California to NY, can go any which way on precipitation.

"Then its back to the warmer weather until we get closer to winter", she said.

A weak El Niño, described by NOAA as a warming of parts of the Pacific Ocean, is likely to occur this winter, which may contribute to increased precipitation in the southern United States and parts of the East Coast, according to NOAA.

The balmy prediction is due to the roughly 75% chance of an El Niño developing.

El Nino tends to generate an active subtropical jet stream that would hike precipitation across the southern half of the country, including in Southern California, where beneficial rains could swiftly morph into threatening flooding and mudslides.



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